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Drugwonks
Latest News!Written By Comment Count Comment Last Three November 30, 2008
Peter Pitts
Last week I participated in a two-day seminar held by the Consejo de Salubridad General of Mexico. The topic was “Farmacoeconomia: una nueva era en la toma de decisiones,” (“Pharmacoeconomics: a new age for decision making.) The conference’s subtitle was important, “una vision internacional.”
The “internacional” part consisted of myself, Michael Drummond, Professor of Health Economics (University of York), Professor Jacques Lelorier, Chief of the Pharmaco-economics and Pharmaco-epidemiology research unit at the University of Montreal, and Kalipso Chalkidou, Acting Director of Policy Consulting at NICE. The seminar was designed to debate and discuss Mexico’s new pharmaco-economic guidelines for their national formulary. And there was as much debate as discussion. (The audience was comprised of about 100 members of various Mexican government health authorities – and they were not passive observers.) The opening remarks by Stephano Bertozzi (Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica) set the tone for the event, “We need to spend more and spend more wisely.” Michael Drummond’s presentation was a primer on the various types of evidence used in healthcare technology assessments. Nothing new – but a valuable view into the soul of HTA. Dr. Drummond’s take-away message was that decisions made via HTA are economic decisions – not necessarily medical ones. He also pointed out that using RCTs as the mainstay of comparative effectiveness measures was a flawed proposition and that other evidence – such as observational studies and real-time outcomes data needed to become part of the broader HTA equation. I was up next, and the gist of my talk was that decisions should be made on patient-centric rather than cost-based platforms – and that reimbursement choices based on short-term budgetary considerations can have expensive (for the government) and dire (for the patient) consequences. My presentation can be found here. Third on the agenda was Professor Jacques Lelorier who gave a very provocative presentation on the gaming of the comparator issue in general and by Canadian authorities (CDR) in particular – which does not tell the innovator company what comparator it has chosen and then, once a decision has been made, won’t share the data used in the process. He made the point (echoed by others during the course of the event) that when a particular HTA review finds a product to be outside of the selected cost-effectiveness parameters, “the answer is no,” but when the parameters fall within the selected criteria, “the answer is maybe.” Kalipso Chalkidou gave an overview of NICE – making a point of the fact that NICE is not a reimbursement agency and does not deny access to pharmaceuticals. She also discussed the pending policy (in the UK) of providing physicians with financial “incentives” if they move patients from on-patent medicines to generic alternatives “Incentive” -- such a nice word when a government uses it. Can you imagine what it would be called if this same technique was used by an innovator company? (Hint – “bribery.”) Dr. Chalkidou also noted this policy is “pending” because it is being challenged in court. She also pointed out (vis-à-vis statins) that if there was “any proof” that an on-patent product was “better” than a generic that NICE would be glad to reconsider its current position on the matter. I will shortly send her a link to the BMJ-published THIN study that shows why switching patients from on-patent atorvastatin (Lipitor) to off-patent simvastatin (generic Zocor) has proven to be very expensive to the British healthcare system because of its disastrous and deleterious impact on patient health. (For more on the THIN study, see here.) Day Two of the seminar was comprised of Mexican health officials and academics presenting their views on pharmaco-economics and HTA. Some worthwhile and representative remarks: “Developing guidelines is one thing -- making disastrous implementation mistakes is something else. We must have confidence in the people doing our HTA reviews and understand the relative strengths and weaknesses of the data. We must have clarity about appeal guidelines. A good economic analysis is not a faultless crystal ball. HTA has threats as well as opportunities.” (Atanacio Valencia, Institudo Nacional de Salud Publica) “HTA isn’t a decision – it is the evidence to assist in making a decision.” (Maria Cristina Gutierrez Delgado, Secretaria de Salud). Her presentation was on a Mexican HTA analysis of the HPV vaccine – an analysis that showed the vaccine not to be cost-efficient. The Health Minister, however, decided to go against that recommendation. Stephano Bertozzi spoke about the need to create a formalized training program for those who prepare HTA studies as well as for those who will make the final reimbursement decisions. Octavio Amancio Chassin (Consejo de Salubridad General), made the excellent point that HTA must go “beyond the QALY,” taking into careful consideration a variety of factors such as the financial impact associated with caregivers. Being able to participate in this event and to view the Mexican public health community discuss and debate how to set up an HTA authority convinces me of five things: 1. HTA can be a valuable tool when the right tools are used the right way; 2. HTA must be a combined and collegial effort of government officials, trained academics, physicians and pharmaceutical companies; 3. A variety of evidence must be considered – from RCTS to observational studies to outcomes data; 4. HTA must be as much a patient-centric proposition as a cost-effectiveness mechanism; 5. All aspects of HTA – from the design to the decision to the appeals process must be open and transparent As we in the United States begin to think seriously about HTA we absolutely must remember that it’s more than just “comparative effectiveness.” And a good way to start having a serious conversation about the issue would be to convene experts and discuss the right way to move forward. I respectfully suggest to Senator Baucus and Senator Conrad, before they offer legislation setting up an American comparative effectiveness body (within AHRQ or anywhere else), that they look at the process being used by our NAFTA neighbors to the South and carefully consider the warning of Professor Atanacio Valencia, “Don’t make the remedy worse than the disease.” -
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November 28, 2008
Dr. Robert Goldberg
Andrew Pollack tells the story of ALLHAT the supposed gold standard of comparative effectiveness trials in today's NYT.
CMPI's chairman Michael Weber is quoted: “There was a feeling there was a political and economic agenda as much as a scientific agenda,” said Dr. Michael Weber, a professor of medicine at the Health Science Center at Brooklyn, part of the State University of New York, who had been an investigator in the study but afterward became one of its leading critics. “They pushed beyond what the data allowed them to say.” Critics said the rules of the trial had favored the diuretics. If the first drug did not adequately lower blood pressure — as happened in more than 60 percent of cases — a second drug could be added. But that second drug was usually a type that worked better with diuretics than with ACE inhibitors.FDA's Bob Temple says: “This is the largest and best attempt to compare outcomes we are ever going to see,” he said. “And people are extremely doubtful about whether it has shown anything at all.” So who is in favor of this big trials? Those who want the government to dictate to doctors what to prescribe based on cost-driven clinical trial designs or think they will spit out precise answers that health plans can use to save money. But in fact such trials themselves have a political edge and often lead by people who themselves have a bias: Which is why Curt Furberg, the man who played fast and loose with the data to claim calcium channel blockers cause cancer, was forced to resign. Actually not the only reason. The other reason: the design of ALLHAT exposed African Americans to an excess risk of stroke and stroke related death. President-Elect Obama and his health advisers should bear that in mind in considering Furberg for any position. So what's the verdict on comparative effectiveness research? Clinical trials of the size, scope and design of ALLHAT are inconclusive and often outdated, if not politically motivated. So what's the alternative that everyone is seeking to spend billionns on? "Dr. Clancy (Carolyn Clancy director of the federal Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality) said that her agency was now mainly using insurance records to judge how treatments perform. While clinical trials are the gold standard, she said, they are costly and time-consuming. And, she added, “You might be answering a question that by the time you are done, no longer feels quite as relevant.”And that's going to save the US health system billions? Research on how to achieve the best outcomes for patients is possible. But neither the ALLHAT approach or the review of insurance records is the way to do it. Dan Allen
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November 26, 2008
Peter Pitts
As we prepare to think "turkey" -- let's first talk "chicken."
As in "Chicken Little." I share this because, having just landed in Mexico City for a conference on HTA and pharmacoeconomics, I can attest to the fact that the sky is not falling – notwithstanding a story in today’s Washington Post that the FDA is teetering on the brink. Consider the opening paragraph: “Shaken by a series of alarming failures, the FDA desperately needs an infusion of strong leadership, money, technology and personnel -- and perhaps a major restructuring, say former officials, members of Congress, watchdog groups and various government reports.” First of all, the agency already has some very high caliber leadership – but a new Commissioner with vision, guts and communication skills will absolutely make things better. The FDA is a very hierarchical agency. And it’s very true that more money, personnel and technology are must haves. Particularly technology. But folks, as Pollyanna-ish as it may sound – the agency that parlor game pundits, some of our elected officials and so-called “watchdog groups” are bemoaning as broken – is actually working pretty well considering withering media attacks, internal score-settling and general hand-wringing by people who mostly have no idea what they’re talking about. And some who do and should know better. I am surprised by the comments of my former colleague Bill Hubbard who is quoted in the Post as saying, "FDA is close to being at a tipping point -- the agency is hanging on by its fingertips in protecting us." If that’s true today, then it must have been true when Bill and I were at Parklawn together. And it wasn’t true then. Bill wants the best for the agency – but tacking to the political winds is bad strategy. "Everywhere you go, you hear the same chorus: The agency's in trouble," said David A. Kessler, who served as FDA commissioner under Presidents George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton. "There's a general perception the agency is suffering mightily." It’s important to read what Dr. Kessler said – that there’s a general “perception” – that’s a lot different from it being true. But minus a smart and robust communications strategy – perception becomes reality. And the FDA has been minus a smart and robust communications strategy for too long. And then there are those with personal agendas. "I'm afraid we're going to see more horrible things happen if we don't get our act together on this," said David Ross, who was a drug reviewer at the agency for 10 years. Funny the article should quote David Ross – who has a chip on his shoulder the size of Gibralter. It’s kind of like asking Hillary Clinton to write a job recommendation for Monica Lewinsky. It’s also poor reporting that Ross’ conflicts weren’t noted. Sloppy journalism and bad editing. And then there are those who point out how well the FDA was run when they were running it: "The agency needs to get back to using science as the basis for its decision-making," said Jane E. Henney, who ran the FDA under Clinton from 1998 to 2001. Let’s face it -- Jane will not go down in history as one of the great FDA Commissioners. And shame on her for saying the agency isn’t using science, first, last and always as it’s decision-making compass. The article makes one excellent point that needs to be repeated and repeated and repeated, “While the agency has received some additional money and personnel to help implement new drug safety powers, many say it is overdue for a doubling of its budget.” That’s change we can believe in – lots of change. And, according to Mark McClellan – already considered by many to be one of the FDA’s Hall of Fame Commissioners -- "There's broad bipartisan recognition from consumer groups and from industry that the FDA needs more resources. The most important thing is overall effective leadership that leads in a way that establishes public trust." Amen. And Happy Thanksgiving. -
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November 25, 2008
Peter Pitts
Last March (March 4th to be exact) drugwonks.com commented on the hypocritical disconnect between what medical journals were writing about medical journalism conflict-of-interest and what they were practicing (“New Realism Redefined”) -- “There seems to be a lot of "do as I say not as I do" going on these days.” A few months later (August 25th), Steve Usdin of BioCentury weighted in on the same topic. His article, “Sacred vs. Profane,” began as follows: “Medical journal editorials routinely attack the pharmaceutical industry, alleging drug companies corrupt the practice of medicine through inappropriate and overly aggressive marketing, while also criticizing doctors for allowing themselves to be influenced. The journal publishers themselves, however, play a key role in encouraging the behaviors their editors criticize via advertising, sponsored subscriptions and the promotion of reprints of company-sponsored clinical trials.” (It should also be noted that both JAMA and NEJM declined Usdin’s requests for interviews.) So it comes as somewhat of a surprise (Really? No.) that in the current edition of the British Medical Journal (19 November 2008, doi:10.1136/bmj.a2535), much of the same ground is covered – but minus any mention of the sins of medical journals! -
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November 25, 2008
Dr. Robert Goldberg
Did Joe Biederman do anything unethical or wrong by asking Johnson and Johnson to support a research center to develop gene and imaging based diagnostics to more accurately screen for child and adolescent bipolar disorder and then use risperidone (and other drugs) to conduct open label and randomized clinical trials to establish if treatment based on new screening criteria produced better results? Yes. Biederman should have been more transparent or more promotional about it. Because in this day and age if you don't let your enemies know what you are doing by definition you are hiding something. And if you are hiding something you are by definition conspiring to poison people (particularly children) with drugs that are "powerful" but somehow also "ineffective" and dangerous. Should J and J not have decided to spend $6 million promoting awareness of bipolar conditions in kids, support CME with unrestricted grants and seek ideas on the appropriate way to design studies for pediatric labeling? It should have been more open, more willing to give up control and let the science and consensus go where it might instead of letting marketing people try to micromanage. It's the secrecy stupid. You have nothing to be afraid of. Or ashamed of. If you are transparent that will leave your enemies as the only ones skulking around, conspiring, feeding and feeding off trial attorney dough for fear and profit. Read More -
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November 24, 2008
Dr. Robert Goldberg
Here's how Chuck Grassley conducts "investigations"
1. He sends a letter like this one to Roger Meyer of Best Practice which is a private for profit company that receives no federal grant money. But that's beside the point since the crime is now simply conducting and publishing research on any observation of any post market benefit of any drug for mental illness in peer reviewed publications such as JAMA. Which is what Fred Goodwin and Roger Meyer did along with authors from Kaiser Permanente and Group Health of Puget Sound. (Suicide Risk in Bipolar Disorder During Treatment With Lithium and Divalproex JAMA. 2003;290:1467-1473.) Worst Practice? Senate Probes NPR Host’s FirmOf course, engaging in such activities in identifying risks is ok and individuals with such information should contact Grassley's office or the Church of Scientology or both. (Something tells me that either way the one will get the info to the other. 2. How did Phamalot find out. Turns out that Grassley, well before Roger Meyer even responded to the Grassley "probe" send what his missive to to the media in advance of sending the letter to Roger Meyer as well as bloggers such as pharmalot whose blog is an oasis for the anti-psycho-pharm crowd. Pharmalot then trumpets that Best Practice is being investigated by Grassley. Did Pharmalot contact Roger Meyer or Fred Goodwin or read the JAMA article in question. Of course not. Is such behavior defamatory. To my mind it is. When I have gone over the top -- and I have - I have at least apologized or issued a retraction. We will see what happens to Pharmalot in the days ahead. Even bloggers should abide by a code of moral decency.3. But don't hold your breath. The pharmalot blog along with others will generate more mainstream media headlines and articles. And a press release from Grassley that is already to go. Will this have a chilling effect on the publication of off-label effects of medications. Of course it will. Will that harm patients and undermine innovation. Of course. Along with the assault on any tie between industry and academia. The hijacking of science for fear and profit continues apace. -
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November 24, 2008
Peter Pitts
The U. S. Food and Drug Administration prides itself on being, first and foremost, all about science. So, how did the agency that regulates upwards of 30 percent of the When one considers the mission of FDA—to independently protect and advance the public health—it is not at all clear whether the Commissioner should be a Senate-confirmed political appointee “serving at the pleasure of the President.” I think that the American people would prefer he or she be nominated by the President for a fixed 6-year term—similar to that of the Director of the FBI. Think about it—why should the safety of food additives, the integrity of the blood and vaccine supply, and decisions on drug labeling indications (to name only a few FDA responsibilities) be considered Democratic or Republican issues? The boss of the FDA Commissioner is and should continue to be the Secretary of Health and Human Services—a politically appointed, Senate-confirmed cabinet officer. This is enough. More politics just leads to regulatory paralysis and discord—neither which protects or advances Having had the honor to serve our country as an FDA Associate Commissioner, I can unequivocally state that the unwelcome infusion of politics into science makes an already difficult job virtually impossible. To have the job of Commissioner open and only partially filled for extended lengths of time grinds progress to a halt. Low morale, lengthy delays, and even postponements often characterize an open Commissionership. This is not acceptable. Who becomes the next FDA Commissioner is important. But an important indication of the seriousness with which President-Elect Obama takes that post is how soon in his administration a nomination is made. Let’s hope it’s done swiftly and smartly. -
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November 21, 2008
Dr. Robert Goldberg
More info that the New York Times left out of its story on Fred Goodwin:
The Times writes: "He defended the views he expressed in many of his radio programs and said that, because he consults for so many drug makers at once, he has no particular bias." “These companies compete with each other and cancel each other out,” he said. This view is dismissed by industry critics, who say that experts who consult widely for drug makers tend to minimize the value of non-drug or older drug treatments."Here are the facts: Goodwin consistently studied the effects of lithium a drug that lost it's patent nearly a half century ago and continues to lecture about it's benefits as a front line treatment for manic depression. Read More Goodwin also pioneered the use of light therapy to treat season affect disorder. Meanwhile the Grassley witch hunt continues apace, now "investigating" Goodwin's private consulting business for promoting "off-label" use of lithium. Translation: Publishing an article in JAMA comparing the effect of lithium in reducing suicide among manic depressive patients to marketed products - in partnership with managed care plans and other research organizations -- is now a reason to investigate. And of course just being investigated by Grassley is a crime because taking money from any drug company for any reason at any time makes all of one's research suspect and you a criminal. Got that? I can hear the hatchets being sharpened. Shannon Brownlee and Jeanne Lenzer must not be far behind. -
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November 21, 2008
Peter Pitts
Per today's article in the New York Times on my friend and colleague Fred Goodwin ... why was there no mention of stature in the field of psychiatry?
Here are (only) some of Dr. Goodwin's particulars: * Research Professor of Psychiatry at The George Washington University and Director of the University’s Center on Neuroscience, Medical Progress, and Society; * Former Director of the National Institute of Mental Health This was not relevant to the story, why? Looks like that "all the news that's fit to print" window is getting narrower all the time. Talk about a lack of fair balance and adequate provision. Time to contact the Ombusdman. -
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November 21, 2008
Dr. Robert Goldberg
Fred Goodwin is one of the leading psychopharmacologists of this century. He is also a practicing psychiatrist. That is reason alone for those bent on driving down the use of medications for mental illness to target Goodwin for being paid to advise pharmaceutical companies who develop products for the treatment of such conditions. Goodwin -- who is my friend and a CMPI board member -- is a pioneer in the successful treatment of schizophrenia and manic depression. His radio show, "The Infinite Mind" covered a wide variety of subjects ranging from dreams, to aging, to depression over the 15 years he was the host.
He is being slimed by the same small-minded group that wants to savage science and replace it with a contorted combination of anger, unmedicated anecdotes and trial lawyer inspired opportunism. Goodwin will continue to publish, lecture and research, adding value and knowledge to patients lives. Here's the difference between Goodwin and his attackers: Fred has helped reduced the number of suicides among the mentally ill. They have helped increase them. They have to live with their legacy. I am sure Fred will be content with his. Read New York Times article You miss the point
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November 21, 2008
Peter Pitts
Day II of the IFPMA Assembly offered a pastiche of pithy policy pensées. * “The free market hasn’t failed — it just hasn’t been given a chance to work as it should.” * “We must build a system that promotes universal access, not by mandate but through free-market solutions that maximize coverage and improve access.” * “In 2007 — for the first time — we offered * “This year, roughly two-thirds of enrolled employees — including moi — and dependents chose one of these options. By 2010, our company will offer only consumer-driven options for our active employees.” Lechleiter’s full remarks can be found here. In his keynote address, IFPMA President Fred Hassan (whose day job is Chairman and President of Schering-Plough), shared that Hassan also noted that the IFPMA is going to field a study to determine its image and level of influence in Rich Bagger (SVP, Worldwide Public Affairs & Policy, Pfizer) was the only speaker to consistently refer to his company as being in the “life sciences” business. Why is this so hard for everyone else to remember ? One of Rich’s themes was “new roads to access.” And he offered a very early yet tantalizing example – Pfizer’s partnership with the Grameen Bank of Ladies and Gentlemen – the frost is on the pumpkin and it’s time to get to work. -
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November 20, 2008
Peter Pitts
Tom Daschle is a terrific choice for HHS for many reasons. Most importantly, he’s a grown-up. Daschle's sure-footed Washington savvy should pretty much shut the door on those Nabobs of Nissenism who are calling on King Steven to ascend to the FDA throne. Secretary-Presumptive Daschle knows better than to take anyone seriously who is so universally disliked among the most senior FDA staff and so generally divisive among almost everyone else. His other role in the Obama White House, that of Health “Czar,” poses some interesting questions. Specifically, how will he approach the issue of the Part D Non-Interference Clause – which he (along with Senator Kennedy) drafted in the first place? Yesterday, at Day II of the IFPMA Assembly, the luncheon speakers were former Senators John Breaux and Trent Lott. Neither thinks there will be a strong Congressional effort to reverse the Non-Interference Clause. I am not as phlegmatic. And to that point, a few things worthy of consideration: "It is not obvious that allowing the government to negotiate with pharmaceutical companies will lead to lower prices than those achieved by private drug plans. Private plans like Kaiser or United are able to negotiate deep discounts with pharmaceutical companies precisely because of the plans' ability to say no – the ability to include some drugs and to exclude others, allowing the market to judge the resulting formulary. On the other hand, when the government negotiates, its hands are tied because there are few drugs it can exclude without facing political backlash from doctors and the Medicare population, a very influential group of voters. Neither economic theory nor historical experience suggests government price negotiation will achieve lower drug prices. Congressional Democrats need to be careful in making the logical leap from market share to bargaining power. Empowering the government to negotiate with pharmaceutical companies is not necessarily equivalent to achieving lower drug prices. In fact, neither economic theory nor historical experience suggests that will be the outcome. Members should think carefully before jumping on the bandwagon – this promise may bring just the opposite of what was ordered." "Both the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office and Medicare actuaries have said they doubt the government could negotiate lower costs than the private sector. The theory behind Part D is that market forces and competition among drug plans, overseen by government, can achieve better results than a government-run program. The multitude of plans allows seniors to pick one that best meets their needs. Government price negotiation could leave people without drugs that manufacturers decide aren't sufficiently profitable under the plan. Medicare recipients account for half of all drug prescriptions. With that kind of clout, government might try to dictate prices, not just negotiate them. This could leave people without drugs that manufacturers decide aren't sufficiently profitable under the plan. The VA plan illustrates the point. It offers 1,300 drugs, compared with 4,300 available under Part D, prompting more than one-third of retired veterans to enroll in Medicare drug plans." * The projected cost for Medicare Part D is $117 billion lower over the next decade than experts estimated just last summer. This means that over the 10-year period from 2008 to 2017, the estimated $915 billion cost of Part D fell to $798 billion. We shouldn’t interfere with success. -
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November 19, 2008
Dr. Robert Goldberg
Jack Mason, my neighbor and the evangelist in chief of IBM's Smarter Planet initiative, part social networking, part idea incubator for ways to use digital and info technology to make the world a better, healthier place was kind enough to post about our visit together and eliminate all the "uhs" and "y'knows" from my part of the conversation.
Read More -
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November 19, 2008
Peter Pitts
As our current financial meltdown forces state governments to consider ugly budget cutbacks, some foolish ideas often get undeserved airtime.
Specifically, drug importation. It’s worth restating the facts. State and local importation schemes have been dismal and politically embarrassing. Remember Illinois’ high profile “I-Save-RX”program? Over 19 months of operation, a grand total of 3,689 Illinois residents used the program -- which equals approximately .02% of the population. And what of Minnesota’s RxConnect? According to its latest statistics, Minnesota RxConnect fills about 138 prescriptions a month. That's for the whole state. Minnesota population: 5,167,101. And what about Springfield, MA and “the New Boston Tea Party?” Well the city of Springfield has been out of “drugs from Canada business” since August 2006. (But that hasn’t stopped Chris Collins – a representative of CanaRX from telling some New York municipalities that, “We’re now saving over $2 million a year in Springfield, MA” (Hamptons.com Sept 30, 2008, reported by Aaron Boyd). Shameful. This is particularly appalling since the drugs being sent to U.S. customers from CanaRX are most certainly not “the same drugs Canadians get.” That bit of rhetoric is just plain wrong. CanaRX – by their own admission – sources their drugs from the European Union. And while they may say their drugs come from the United Kingdom, let’s not conveniently forget that 20% of all the medicines sold in the UK are parallel imported from other nations in the EU – like Spain, Greece, Portugal, and Lithuania. PS/ The drugs CanaRX sells to Americans aren’t even legal for sale in Canada. Oh – and by the way, such programs don’t even save any money. A study by the non-partisan federal Congressional Budget Office (CBO) study showed that importation would reduce our nation’s spending on prescription medicines a whopping 0.1% -- and that’s not including the millions of dollars the FDA would need to set up a monitoring system. We’re all in deep enough fiscal trouble. We shouldn’t make it any worse by looking for unsafe, unsound, quick-fix solutions that make for good soundbites -- but bad public policy. -
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November 19, 2008
Peter Pitts
Sorry for the late evening post, but I've been at 24th IFPMA Assembly in Washington, DC. all day.
Some highlights: The luncheon keynoter was Jeffrey Sachs, Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development and Professor of Health Policy and Management at Columbia University -- but he's probably better known you drugwonks out there as the Director of the Earth Institute and author of "Common Wealth" and "The End of Poverty." Most of his talk was of the usual garden-variety "more government, please" variety -- but he did say one thing worth mentioning, that although he has some serious issues with pharmaceutical patents, "lifesaving innovation would be impossible without them." Yes -- "impossible." I wonder what Jamie Love will have to say about that? The best panel of the day featured the health ministers from Kenya and Uganda (Peter Anyang' Nyong'o and Richard Nduhuura respectively), who spoke of their nations' need for enhanced healthcare infrastructure -- and then Alessandro Banchi (Chairman, Boehringer Ingelheim) laid it it out in black and white, "The elephant in the room is the fragility of healthcare systems -- not the price of drugs." Neither of the two ministers objected. Zhang Weibo (Director, Pharmaceutical & Biological Review, People's Republic of China), spoke on the issue of IP and TCM (Traditional Chinese Medicine) -- an issue that deserves further discussion -- and will certainly get it. (Note to Congress: Better open the fortune cookie and start thinking about DSHEA reform.) Swati Piramal (Director of Strategic Alliances, Piramal Healthcare, Ltd, India) spoke about India's emergence as a nation of pharmacetical innovation. She said her firm has a few drugs in the pipeline that can be brought to market for under $100,000,000. That got people's attention. More from the IFPMA Assembly tomorrow. -
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November 17, 2008
Tim Franson
Amidst the current fiscal climate, certain words evoke visceral reactions ... as one example - a margin call, ie the process of an authority such as a lender making a demand of a account holding client to make good on a shrinking collateral (margin) balance, by demanding payment pronto (which may have dire consequences for a party with a diminishing account "coming due" because of taking a calculated risk, based on prior assumptions that subsequently changed). In like spirit, the review of noninferiority margin by the FDA's Anti-Infective Drugs Advisory Committee this week will recommend changes that may be viewed as precedent setting, and which are likely to have similar impact on "pharma portfolio managers" who are subject to the decisions of the agency and its advisors - with potential dramatic impact for sponsors across all therapeutic areas. For those of us who are not statistical wizards, the concept of noninferiority margins refers to an issue of "assay sensitivity" involving the setting of expectations for the ranges of outcomes in clinical trials comparing two agents which are deemed acceptable to declare the two competing chemicals as "equivalent" (ie calculations to rule out that the test intervention is no worse than the control intervention by a chosen amount). In turn, the margin set will drive the size (and cost/duration) of such trials ... the smaller the margin set (ie 10% vs. 15%) the more patients needed in the study to prove noninferiority. Past US anti-infective trials had been constructed with margins around 15% as being a reasonable rule of thumb (as in FDA's 1998 Points to Consider document), until a 2001 expert review (and subsequent FDA communications) suggested a reduction of the acceptable margin below 15% was indicated, which in some cases did compel sponsors to extend ongoing studies to meet the expectations of the change in standards. Clearly, setting margins for any trial requires thoughtful and individual review based on disease severity, range of comparator/historical control outcomes and like considerations. In the Advisory Committee this week, the discussion will focus on margins for complicated skin and skin structure infections ... many speculate that margin call will be 10%, and that the recommendations will be used as a reference point in other therapeutic groups (a la the "Ten" Commandments), which will, in turn, create some very challenging circumstances for those considering development programs for new antimicrobials and perhaps other agents. In some cases, it is possible that larger companies faced with portfolio decisions on selecting which compounds to advance (or terminate) given limited funds (and those smaller companies which have projected their capital burn for development based on prior margin rules) may be compelled to delay or exit these areas of study. Might the law of unintended consequences be invoked here, in that making margins more rigid could force pharma's anti-infective developers to reconsider their chances of successful, timely development (and instead provoke them to polish their burger flipping skills from college years)? Or will the modifications in margins be accompanied by more creative design features (a la the Critical Path programs, which might consider modifications such as single tail statistical designs for noninferiority analyses in selected conditions, or conversely to encourage superiority trials in a "bet the ranch" approach?). Whatever the outcomes, it is hoped that those deliberating on the margin call give due consideration to long term factors which their recommendation may influence ... to paraphrase HF Emerson "when you pick up one end of a stick, the other end comes along" and this stick could impose quite a beating ... or be a framing timber of new trial constructs ... depending on what and how this discussion plays out. In a worst case scenario, the margin of noninferiority and the margin of company development budgets could become an inverse relationship for sponsors - with a chilling effect on innovation, and thus no marginal gain for patients in the end result ... which would be an unfortunate & unintended margin of error in judgement. -
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November 17, 2008
Peter Pitts
In what he referred to as a “note on the desk” to the next Secretary of Health and Human Services, Mike Leavitt, the current inhabitant of that seat released “The Personalized Health Care Initiative.” Personalized health care should be an "explicit goal of health care reform,'' Leavitt said. Oh well, better late than never. (The complete report can be found here.) -
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November 14, 2008
Peter Pitts
The great Lewis Black expounds on why politics is a renewable resource for comedians...
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November 14, 2008
Peter Pitts
Yesterday I had an op-ed in the Washington Examiner, “Obama, Congress Should Learn from Britain’s Healthcare Failings,” where I make the point that “NICE’s failings indicate that government is liable to misuse drug approval power, and they should arouse suspicion about the merits of additional government intervention in the healthcare market. The British government is finally giving patients and physicians the freedom they need to best combat disease. American lawmakers should follow their lead.”
But what I’d like to share with you is a comment that was posted in response to my discussion of NICE and its implications for US healthcare reform. Here it is: “Pitts cannot hope to cover all of the NHS's sins in a short piece. They also instruct doctors to lie to patients, informing them that life-saving treatments do not exist, when the NHS has merely decided the procedures are too pricey. It is better, in the view of the NHS, that people die rather than complain. Also, thousands die in their hospitals each year because staff cannot be bothered to wash their filthy hands. A trip to the NHS is often a death sentence, pure and simple." And to that all I can add is, “Happy 60th Birthday, Prince Charles.” -
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November 13, 2008
Dr. Robert Goldberg
Does it only seem like the 50th time this year that the Commonwealth Fund has put out a study or survey to make the case that compared to government run health systems elsewhere the American way of medicine is horrible? France best, U.S. worst in preventable death ranking Reuters, January 8, 2008 U.S. Health System Facing Senior “Crisis’ Study Says 78 Million Baby Boomers Will Enter A System Unprepared To Meet Their Needs Washington, April 14, 2008 Read CBS Article Here July 17 (HealthDay News) -- Access to health care in the United States continues to elude more and more Americans, a new survey shows. Read Full Forbes Article Here Americans Want Overhaul of Health System Chicago AUG 07, 2008 (Reuters) By Julie Steenhuysen Read More Leaders in health care and health care policy feel strongly that the way we pay for health care in the U.S. must be fundamentally reformed. Tuesday, 4-Nov-2008 US trails other nations in chronic illness care Nov. 13, 2008 By Will Dunham Read More -
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