Sebelius & Co. have released enrollment numbers. Some key findings:
* 106,185 people have selected an Exchange plan (although not all have paid the premium). This includes 26,794 people in the federal exchange states.
* 396,261 people whose applications were processed by the Exchanges have been deemed eligible for Medicaid. A little more than half of those people live in states with state-based exchanges.
* Surprisingly, of those deemed eligible for Marketplace plan enrollment, only 30% qualified for a premium tax credit. CBO had expected about 80% of Exchange enrollees would qualify for a premium tax credit.
* About a million people have been deemed eligible for Exchange coverage but have not yet picked a plan. It’s not clear if these people will pick a plan later on or decided not to enroll – especially if their “cancelled” plans are reinstated.
* The HHS release includes a long appendix comparing Exchange enrollment to Part D, Massachusetts Commonwealth Care, CHIP and FEHBP. While Part D had about 10% enrollment in the first month, Massachusetts had just 3% enrollment in the first month (and the Bay State kept enrollment open for the entire first year so there was less pressure to enroll early).
* If exchange enrollment mirrors the same enrollment pattern as Part D, about 700,000 people would have to enroll by the end of November in order to meet the target of 7,000,000 people enrolled in Exchanges in 2014.
And speaking of exchanges, Gallup has found that just 18% of uninsured adults had attempted to visit an Exchange website.
Technical notes:
* This report only captures enrollment through Nov 2.
* Data includes applications submitted through methods other than the website (i.e. paper applications).
* There are state-by-state tables included in the release (see page 9).
The complete HHS release can be found here.
