Latest Drugwonks' Blog

Yahoo? Yikes!

  • 08.27.2009

According to a report in PharmaTimes:

“A study has found that over 80% of on-line advertisements for Internet pharmacies accepted by the search engine Yahoo were in violation of US federal and state laws.The researchers were able to buy prescription drugs without a prescription from Yahoo Internet pharmacy advertisements, and in one case the drugs were imported from India, which is prohibited by US law, says the survey, which was conducted by research firms LegitScript.com and KnujOn.com.”

Moreover, the researchers acquired prescription drugs without a prescription from an Internet pharmacy approved by PharmacyChecker – the service by which Yahoo, Google and Microsoft require their Internet pharmacy advertisers to be verified as legitimate - and listed on PharmacyChecker.com. Those drugs were also imported from India."

Yahoo's policy requires Internet pharmacy advertisers to be "based in" the USA or Canada. The report reviewed three Internet pharmacies that were approved as advertisers based on having a Canadian pharmacy license but, in all three cases, the pharmacies indicated that the drugs would actually be shipped from locations including India, Singapore or Barbados, and not Canada. Moreover, one advertiser approved as a licensed Canadian Internet pharmacy said it could fill prescriptions anywhere in the world except for Canada, because prescription drug importation is illegal there, the researchers report.”

The complete report can be found here.

Earlier this week I discussed why differences in definitions of live and still birth make comparisons of international statistics on infant mortality misleading. But these divergences in reporting requirements are not the only reason that international comparisons of morality rates are unreliable and inaccurate.

In other cases, bureaucracy intrudes so that even those who meet the definition of live birth may not end up in statistics. In France, in order for the baby to be given a birth certificate as a live birth, one must have “a medical certificate [that] attests that the child was born ‘alive and viable’.” On the other hand, “[i]n the absence of a medical certificate attesting that the child was born ‘alive and viable,’ the civil service officer only establishes a certificate of a child without life,” in lieu of a birth certificate. Overall, “this procedure applies, on one hand, to children born alive but not viable, and on the other, to children stillborn after a term of 22 weeks…or with a weight of at least 500 grams.” Thus, there is ample opportunity for babies to not be counted either because they are considered nonviable or because a certificate that they were born alive and viable could not be obtained. The scale of the resulting impact on mortality rates is implied by statistics that show that under a sixth of recorded infant deaths in France take place in the initial twenty-four hours after birth, versus one-third in both the US and Canada.

Another such case is Canada. Like that US, Canada uses the WHO definition of live birth but bureaucratic complexities may mean that not every baby born alive makes it into the register of live births. One such baby is Sonja Stefnovic, born January 6, 2006 in Ontario and who, though she lived a mere 35 minutes, more than met the criteria for a live birth. Yet, when her parents asked for a birth certificate they were told none existed. The paperwork had been filed to register her death but not her birth, which, unbeknownst to her parents, had to been registered separately. As far as Ontario was concerned, Sonja had never been alive at all.

While such cases are unusual in most of Canada, they are endemic in Ontario where in the last ten years there have been over 30,000 cases of unreported births due to bureaucratic delays, confusing procedures, and a substantial fee for registering births. That adds up to thousands of missing birth records each year and constitutes 30 percent of records of babies who lived less than a year. And Ontario makes up 40 percent of births in Canada. Ontario has also consistently been late in reporting births to federal statisticians. Arne Ohlsson, director of evidence-based neonatal care and outcomes research at the University of Toronto has said that, "[b]ecause such a large proportion of the population is born in Ontario and those vital statistics are not accurate, the country's statistics are not accurate and comparisons with other countries will be inaccurate." Whether the flawed records are used in calculating national statistics or whether Ontario is omitted, the result is nonetheless a number that does not cover all the babies born in the country.

Even if you can overcome the statistical problems, there are other factors that make infant mortality rates an inaccurate tool for comparing the quality of care in different health systems. Access to and quality of care are certainly influential in determining death rates but elements related only partially, tangentially, or not at all to the medical system are critical as well. Many are cultural, like delayed childbearing, use of fertility treatment, multiple births, or a high percentage of teen births, since these trends come with higher prematurity rates. Further, mortality rates are affected by ethnic factors that differ widely –and cannot be dismissed merely as reflections of access or socio-economics.

Culture may also trickle into medical care in another realm, in influencing the willingness of doctors and hospitals to pull out all the stops to try to save even the smallest and most premature babies. In the US, the expectation is that doctors will do everything possible to keep preemies alive unless the parents object. But in the Netherlands, premature babies below 25 weeks gestation are no longer to be resuscitated because the chance of survival without serious disabilities is considered low and they are instead given palliative treatment. Other nations fall somewhere in between and in countries like the UK and Canada, the enormous cost of intensive intervention and shortages of pediatric nurses and spaces in NICUs have played a significant role in the debate over when and how to intervene.

What the ‘correct’ policy may be is beyond the scope of my present post –and the answer is probably neither singular nor fixed. But it is something that needs to be taken into account when comparing statistics.

All of these issue show why international statistics should be interpreted with extreme caution, at least until we know where the number come from, how they are derived, and what other factors are simultaneously in play. And although it may be frustrating to know that, as in this case, the answer may be that the statistics cannot tell us much about the strengths and weaknesses of health care systems and their relation to one another, it is better to know we are in the dark than to clutch at false illumination.



With all the talk about healthcare reform going around Washington, one thing that has been overlooked is an industry in which tens of billions of dollars is spent annually with relatively limited federal oversight—namely dietary supplements, or "complimentary medicine." The passage of the Dietary Supplement Health and Education Act (DSHEA), in 1994, represented an attempt by Congress to regulate the burgeoning marketplace in "natural" health remedies. The intent was to protect consumers from snake-oil salesman while allowing access to a large and legitimate category of health options. The most important reform in DSHEA established that dietary supplements would be regulated as foods rather than medicines. For that reason alone, it's time to review the shortcomings of DSHEA.

Are these products foods or medicines? Well, to quote the great Hoosier poet James Whitcomb Riley, "If it walks like a duck and swims like a duck and quacks like a duck, I call that bird a duck."

To those who would peddle dietary supplements as medicine, the message must be that FDA has the authority to stop you if and when you cross the line. And to Congress, the message is that if FDA is to embrace a "safety first" philosophy, then DSHEA needs to be reformed—because the line has been crossed too many times. This oversight must be corrected immediately.

For the rest of the story, check out this piece from Pharmaceutical Executive Magazine.

Ted Kennedy

  • 08.26.2009
Senator Kennedy passed away a bit after midnight today.  He lived 15 months after being treated for an advanced form of brain cancer.    To the end he fought for what he believed in and was warmly regarded by everyone he dealt with of both parties -- staff included -- for his kindness, trustworthiness and comraderie.   He was instrumental in reshaping FDA reform bills to refocus them on modernization not mindless retribution and it is unfortunate that illness left him unable to be fully engaged in the current health care debate.   I will let others reflect on the other apsects of his life and legacy.  As for me, I remember his moment of grace when delivering the eulogy for his brother Robert Kennedy:

"My brother need not be idealized, or enlarged in death beyond what he was in life; to be remembered simply as a good and decent man, who saw wrong and tried to right it, saw suffering and tried to heal it, saw war and tried to stop it.

Those of us who loved him and who take him to his rest today, pray that what he was to us and what he wished for others will some day come to pass for all the world."

As he said many times, in many parts of this nation, to those he touched and who sought to touch him:

"Some men see things as they are and say why. I dream things that never were and say why not."

 


There are few people who purport to be academics with a more apt name than Donald Light...  The man who invents statistics about international drug pricing and the cost of drugs and has no economics background is at it again and this time his ideologically driven and sloppy research finds a welcome home at Health Affairs. 

Light has a personal vendetta against Joe DiMasi of the Tufts University Center for the Study of Drug Development.    Light believes there is an international conspiracy to protect the validity of DiMasi's scholarly work on the cost of drug development.  Light thinks that because the data on actual costs for each drug studied is not publicly available it can't be verified which is like you can't trust audited financial statements unless you have all the taxi receipts publicly available.  The fact is, DiMasi's estimate of the capitalized costs of bring a new molecular entity to market, as opposed to just adding a liquid form of the same drug, has been verified time and again by analysis of private, public and public-private drug development activities where both opportunity costs and clinical trial complexity can be measured. 

But Light has his followers who are innovation haters and who believe that the true measure of drug costs are what it costs to bring a generic drug to market.    Which begs the question that his Lightness never answers:  if it costs so little to bring a new drug to market, why aren't generic companies innovators...

In his lightweight Health Affairs piece, Light only avoids the issue further by claiming that producing more pill forms in response to price controls is a true measure of innovation.   But he does a service by showing us the sort of dumbed-down health care we would receive under price controls of any form...and demonstrates again why Joe DiMasi is a class act and a real economist and some people just aren't either...

Oh, and Light has NO degree in psychiatry or medicine ...

Europe Has Expanded Its Lead Over The United States In Pharmaceutical Research Productivity

Separately, Researchers Find That Intellectual Property Rules Are Restricting Access To Generic Drugs In Guatemala; Third Study Encourages Participation Of Outside Experts In Pharmaceutical Patent Reviews In Developing Countries

Bethesda, MD -- It is widely believed that the United States has eclipsed Europe in pharmaceutical research productivity. However, a comprehensive data set of all new chemical entities approved between 1982 and 2003 shows that the U.S. never overtook Europe in research productivity, and in fact Europe is pulling further ahead, according to a study published today on the Health Affairs Web site. http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/content/abstract/hlthaff.28.5.w969

The study is one of three released by Health Affairs dealing with prescription drugs and intellectual property.

http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/content/abstract/hlthaff.28.5.w948/DC2

The U.S. share of approved new drugs did increase in the decade from 1993 to 2003, as compared to the previous decade from 1982 to 1992, but that simply reflected the fact that the pharmaceutical industry poured more of its research dollars into American labs, says study author Donald Light, a professor of psychiatry at the University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey and the Lokey visiting professor at Stanford. Over both decades, the U.S. share of approved new drugs lagged behind its share of research funding.

On a dollar-for-dollar basis, Europe was more productive in discovering new drugs than the U.S. was, and the European productivity advantage was greater in the period from 1993 to 2003 than it had been in the period from 1982 to 1992. Japan outstripped both Europe and the United States in pharmaceutical research productivity over these twenty years.

“Congressional leaders and others concerned about high prices of new patented drugs will be heartened by this analysis, because lower European prices seem to be no deterrent to strong research productivity,” writes Light. He cites previous research showing that pharmaceutical companies are able to recover research costs and make a “good profit” at European prices, and he rejects the notion that Europeans are “free-riding” on American pharmaceutical research investments.

Magnum PI

  • 08.25.2009
A new report out of the University of Chicago (a national random sample mail survey of 599 primary care physicians and 600 psychiatrists from November 2007 to August 2008) indicates there is confusion among physicans about what is or is not “on-label.”

According to
the abstract, the average respondent accurately identified the FDA-approval status of just over half of the drug-indication pairs queried (mean 55%; median 57%). Accuracy increased modestly (mean 60%, median 63%) when limited to drugs the respondent reported having prescribed during the previous 12 months. There was a strong association between physicians' belief that an indication was FDA-approved and greater evidence supporting efficacy for that use.

The study’s senior author, Dr. G. Caleb Alexander (assistant professor of medicine at the University of Chicago) said a concern was that off-label uses often did not have the same level of scientific scrutiny as FDA-approved uses.

All the more reason for the FDA and the pharmaceutical industry to jointly develop (as part of the agency's Safe Use initiative) better ways to make the PI more user-friendly – specifically the physician-user.  Here’s an idea – how about FDA-approved PI detailing guides?

A good discussion topic for the Risk Communications Advisory Committee.


All too often people on all sides of the health care debate, to quote 19th century Scottish writer Andrew Lang, “use statistics as a drunken man uses lampposts – for support rather than for illumination.” So, I will attempt to shed some illumination on one of the reoccurring statistics of the American health care debate: infant mortality rates –and on why, in general, we must interpret statistics with care. Today I want to talk about how differing definitions have made infant mortality statistics incomparable across countries. Later this week I will address the role played by other factors.

As most have heard by now, the US has a significantly higher infant mortality rate than its peers, which is presented as a sign that its health care system is lacking. The first problem with international comparison of infant mortality rates is that definitions of live birth and stillbirth are not fixed and may be ambiguous or subjective. The US simply uses the World Health Organization definition, which classifies as a live birth any case in which there is “complete expulsion or extraction from its mother of a product of conception, irrespective of the duration of the pregnancy, which, after such separation, breathes or shows any other evidence of life - e.g. beating of the heart, pulsation of the umbilical cord or definite movement of voluntary muscles - whether or not the umbilical cord has been cut or the placenta is attached.”

But in the UK, while live birth goes essentially undefined, the legal definition of a still birth is “a child which has issued forth from its mother after the twenty-fourth week of pregnancy and which did not at any time after being completely expelled from its mother breathe or show any other signs of life.” The question of what constitutes a sign of life is left open, subject to the interpretation of medical personnel. Second, the fate of babies born earlier is left in a gray area. Again the judgment of doctors is crucial in determining which preemies are counted as still births and which are considered live births.

Similarly, in Germany, the definition of a live birth follows closely, but not exactly, the WHO criteria. Under German law, “[a] live birth…exists when in a child after the separation from the mother’s body either the heart beats or the umbilical cord pulses or the natural breathing of the lungs begins.” This omits, however, voluntary movement. Like in the US, weight is not a criterion for live birth, although a threshold of 500g birth weight is used to differentiate a stillbirth or death during birth from a miscarriage in cases where the child shows none of the three above signs of life.

Switzerland only uses two of the four WHO criteria, the two most obvious signs of life, respiration and heart beat. The oft cited figure of 30 cm as the required length for registering a live birth is not universal in Switzerland but is present in some cantons. Studies have found significant underreporting of premature births in Switzerland, including babies included in either local or national listings but not both, which can alter the overall mortality rate by more than a percentage point.

Need more proof?
Check out the following chart of restrictions on the gestation at which births must be reported as still or live:


Selected statistics from EURO-PERISTAT Project, with SCPE, EUROCAT, EURONEOSTAT, “European Perinatal Health Report,” 2008.

These variations in definition are important because they mean that some babies are not counted in the statistics or are counted differently depending on the country. The broader the criteria for live birth, the higher the infant mortality rate will be because you will be including more babies who ultimately do not survive. Restrictions based on gestation or birth weight, which are present in some countries, exclude precisely the babies that are most likely to die and artificially bringing down the mortality rate. The fact that criteria for registering stillbirths also vary means that some babies are not counted at all and also makes it impossible to correct the statistics or to use alternative statistics, like fetal or perinatal mortality, to produce a numbers that are more representative and comparable across countries.


The Nature of FOBs

  • 08.24.2009

The Teva (Hebrew for "Nature") press release begins as follows:

“Teva Pharmaceuticals USA, the world's leading generic pharmaceutical company, today announced the start of its "Patient First" project as part of the Year of Affordable Healthcare campaign. The initiative, available at: www.yearofaffordablehealth.com/patients, features a first-hand perspective of everyday Americans as they struggle with the enormous and sometimes insurmountable expense of paying for their prescription medicines.”

And ends:

“Teva's Year of Affordable Healthcare is a nationwide campaign to recognize the important role that generic drugs play in providing competitive and more affordable healthcare. In addition, the campaign calls upon federal legislators to enact further reforms, including passage of a competitive regulatory approval pathway for generic biologics to increase American access to affordable and lifesaving medicines.”

The full press release can be found
here.

But – just how much will FOB legislation really change the cost equation?  Well, for starters, that’s the wrong question.  The right question is (not surprisingly) more complicated.  And it’s a two-parter: How much will FOB legislation change the cost/quality equation?

If we can stipulate that quality (aka: safety) cannot be sacrificed for cost (Can we, in fact, stipulate that? Hope so.) – then the answer to cost reduction is maybe 20% or so.  Significant, yes?  Game changing from a spend perspective?  Well – it ain’t chicken feed, but neither is it manna from heaven.

The first point to consider is that FOBs aren’t generics in the Hatch-Waxman sense. (Note: Always take a corrective 2X4 to anyone who utters “generic biologics.”) FOBs will require robust (aka:  expensive) clinical trials and complicated (aka:  expensive) GMPs.  That’s just the nature of the beast.

The next point is that the above will restrict the number of classic “generics” companies who can play in the FOB space (and Teva is at the top of that short list).  The ramp-up is too expensive and the risk is too high.  

And there are three kinds of risk.  The first is failure in either the clinical trial or the GMP aspects of the proposition.  The second is that the profit margins are radically different from small molecule generics.  And the third is that innovator companies are likely to stay in the game post patent-expiry.  It’s that third issue that’s the biggest as well as the least discussed.  So, let’s talk about it.

Since the ante for being in the FOB game is high (trials, GMPs), the cost differential between FOB and innovator product will be significantly less (20% or so if you go by the EMEA experience).  So, the question becomes, can innovator companies lower their prices by 20% or so on “brand names” and have that be a profitable proposition.  Answer: Yes.

Will costs come down?  They will. But don’t look for the same precipitous decline in prices that we’re used to seeing from Hatch-Waxman generics.  As far as Teva’s “Patient First” program is concerned – kudos.  But safety first trumps all.

From the Lou Dobbs program, Thursday, August 20th, 2009:

DOBBS: Tonight the Obama administration working feverishly to set the record straight on what it calls myths about government-led health care. As Ines Ferre reports, however, the president insisting the insured will be able to keep their plans and their doctors just might not be the case.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

INES FERRE, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): It's come up in a number of town hall meetings on health care. The concern that if given the choice between a government plan and a private plan, many employers would choose a federal one assuming it's less expensive. President Obama and Democrats have gone through great pains to reassure Americans they can keep seeing their doctor.

OBAMA: If you like your health care plan, you can keep your health care plan. This is not some government takeover. If you like your doctor, you can keep seeing your doctor.

FERRE: Not true for everyone says FactCheck.org. Under the House bill, some employers may have to modify plans after a five-year grace period if they don't meet minimum benefit standards. Also some employers are likely to buy different coverage for their workers or drop coverage and pay a penalty instead, in which case workers would have to buy their own private insurance or go on a federal plan. The FactCheck.org analysis describes the legislation as a moving target with projections of how many would switch to federal plans ranging from near zero to as much as 56 percent of all covered workers. Peter Pitts worked for the FDA during the Bush administration.

PETER PITTS, CENTER FOR MEDICINE IN THE PUBLIC INTEREST: You may not be able to keep the plan that you've got because that plan may cease to exist. You may not be able to go see the doctor that you've always seen because your insurance plan may have changed. So when the president says definitely you can keep your doctor, when members of Congress say definitely you can keep your insurance plan. They're just guessing.

The complete Lou Dobb segment can be found here.

Preemptive Pricing

  • 08.21.2009

The 8th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals has rejected Iowa’s plan to offer brand-name medicines to Medicaid patients when it can get them at a lower price through government rebates.

In its ruling, the 8th Circuit noted that the
U.S. secretary of Health and Human Services in 2007 "expressly rejected Iowa's approach" when he issued new federal limits on brand-name versus generic drugs.

That’s unfortunate since it will lead to Iowa having to spend about $1,000,000 more on drug costs.  But what’s really intriguing is the language the court used to justify it’s decision:

"
Iowa now invites this court to second-guess the agency's expertise by attacking the policies underlying CMS's decision," the court wrote in its ruling. "However appealing Iowa's approach may appear to be as a matter of policy, we must give CMS the deference it is owed as a matter of law."

So there is preemptive authority when it comes to pricing – but their isn’t preemptive authority when it comes to safety?  An unfortunate allegory akin to health reform really being abot cost containment rather than patient care.

The complete story can be found
here.

CMPI

Center for Medicine in the Public Interest is a nonprofit, non-partisan organization promoting innovative solutions that advance medical progress, reduce health disparities, extend life and make health care more affordable, preventive and patient-centered. CMPI also provides the public, policymakers and the media a reliable source of independent scientific analysis on issues ranging from personalized medicine, food and drug safety, health care reform and comparative effectiveness.

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