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Effective for patients or effective for budgeteers?
When pols and pundits say that we need a system of comparative effectiveness measures "like the UK," it's important to understand what that means. Consider the following ...
An international study of patient access to cancer drugs has found that the UK is in the lowest category of 25 countries, which were measured on the uptake of 67 treatments. The study, by the Karolinska Institute and the Stockholm School of Economics, found that the overall performance was best in Austria, France, Switzerland and the USA.
The researchers noted that the biggest variations across the different national markets in the study were for bowel and lung cancer groups. In both cases, the UK ranked with Poland among the worst countries for patient access to drugs.
This is a system we want to adopt? When Representative Emerson, for example, points to saving "billions, maybe trillions, of dollars" what she means (whether or not she understands it) is that those savings come from denying care.
Yes -- even for cancer patients.
The Karolinska Institute and Stockholm School of Economics study was published in the Annals of Oncology.
When pols and pundits say that we need a system of comparative effectiveness measures "like the UK," it's important to understand what that means. Consider the following ...
An international study of patient access to cancer drugs has found that the UK is in the lowest category of 25 countries, which were measured on the uptake of 67 treatments. The study, by the Karolinska Institute and the Stockholm School of Economics, found that the overall performance was best in Austria, France, Switzerland and the USA.
The researchers noted that the biggest variations across the different national markets in the study were for bowel and lung cancer groups. In both cases, the UK ranked with Poland among the worst countries for patient access to drugs.
This is a system we want to adopt? When Representative Emerson, for example, points to saving "billions, maybe trillions, of dollars" what she means (whether or not she understands it) is that those savings come from denying care.
Yes -- even for cancer patients.
The Karolinska Institute and Stockholm School of Economics study was published in the Annals of Oncology.
As if we needed another example of the folly and bias of large studies, the following excerpt from http://www.scientificamerican.com says it all:
Gordon H. Guyatt, a professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario, who coined the term "evidence-based medicine," collaborated with 16 of his colleagues in an exhaustive survey of existing studies on the outcomes of various medical procedures in both the U.S. and Canada. Their work appears in the inaugural issue of the new Canadian journal Open Medicine, and comes at a time when many in Canada are debating whether or not to move that country's single-payer system toward for-profit delivery of care. The ultimate conclusion of the study is that the Canadian medical system is as good as the U.S. version, at least when measured by a single metric—the rate at which patients in either system died.
Here's what the authors left out to get to their conclusion:
"We included published and unpublished prospective or retrospective observational studies comparing health outcomes (mortality or morbidity) in Canada and the United States for patients of any age with the same diagnosis."
Unpublished? So we have no way of knowing if the study design or results are any good. Ok, next.
"We excluded randomized trials, studies that identified the patients on the basis of the occurrence of one of the adverse health outcomes of interest, and national disease-specific mortality studies that failed to define the population at risk (that is, those with the disease of interest)."
Translation: We excluded anyone who was sick.
"For instance, we excluded studies of national rates of death from cancers because lower mortality may be due either to a lower incidence of cancer or to better care for those with the disease."
That's right folks, better care is not considered a factor in determining which health system is better. Can you say George Orwell?
In otherwords, if you are healthy and "use" the Canadian health system you die at a slower rate than in the US. Wow.
This, from the person who coined the term evidence based medicine.
For those fans of EBM here's the link. Steffie Woolhanler, Canadian health system symp is a co-conspirator on this piece of propaganda.
http://www.openmedicine.ca/article/view/8/1
Gordon H. Guyatt, a professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario, who coined the term "evidence-based medicine," collaborated with 16 of his colleagues in an exhaustive survey of existing studies on the outcomes of various medical procedures in both the U.S. and Canada. Their work appears in the inaugural issue of the new Canadian journal Open Medicine, and comes at a time when many in Canada are debating whether or not to move that country's single-payer system toward for-profit delivery of care. The ultimate conclusion of the study is that the Canadian medical system is as good as the U.S. version, at least when measured by a single metric—the rate at which patients in either system died.
Here's what the authors left out to get to their conclusion:
"We included published and unpublished prospective or retrospective observational studies comparing health outcomes (mortality or morbidity) in Canada and the United States for patients of any age with the same diagnosis."
Unpublished? So we have no way of knowing if the study design or results are any good. Ok, next.
"We excluded randomized trials, studies that identified the patients on the basis of the occurrence of one of the adverse health outcomes of interest, and national disease-specific mortality studies that failed to define the population at risk (that is, those with the disease of interest)."
Translation: We excluded anyone who was sick.
"For instance, we excluded studies of national rates of death from cancers because lower mortality may be due either to a lower incidence of cancer or to better care for those with the disease."
That's right folks, better care is not considered a factor in determining which health system is better. Can you say George Orwell?
In otherwords, if you are healthy and "use" the Canadian health system you die at a slower rate than in the US. Wow.
This, from the person who coined the term evidence based medicine.
For those fans of EBM here's the link. Steffie Woolhanler, Canadian health system symp is a co-conspirator on this piece of propaganda.
http://www.openmedicine.ca/article/view/8/1
Representatives Tom Allen (D-ME) and Jo Ann Emerson (R-MO) held a press conference this morning to announce the introduction of their Enhanced Health Care Value for All Act of 2007.
Representatives of interest groups supporting the legislation and congressional staff out-numbered reporters.
Allen and Emerson mentioned the $3 billion over five years that would be turned over to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) to conduct comparative effectiveness studies.
They did not mention that only one third of this funding would be allocated from the federal budget; two-thirds of the money would come from taxes on health insurance policies.
Oops.
Emerson said the program is needed to combat pharmaceutical company marketing to physicians. She accused physicians of being on the take and encouraged patients to “challenge prescription decisions†made by their physicians.
Funny, last we encountered Representative Emerson, she was trying to limit the information that patients could get on their medicines.
Emerson claimed that the legislation is solely aimed at providing enhanced evidence, but also said it would save Medicare “billions and billions, maybe trillions of dollars.â€
That's a boatload of "maybe."
David Helms, president of AcademyHealth said that the U.S. lags other countries in evidence-based medicine, and that it could learn a lot from countries like Australia and the U.K.
He didn’t say what the U.S. could learn from countries that routinely deny their citizens access to breakthrough life-saving and life-extending therapies.
That's why this piece of legislation should more appropriately be called "The Denial of Care Act."
Representatives of interest groups supporting the legislation and congressional staff out-numbered reporters.
Allen and Emerson mentioned the $3 billion over five years that would be turned over to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) to conduct comparative effectiveness studies.
They did not mention that only one third of this funding would be allocated from the federal budget; two-thirds of the money would come from taxes on health insurance policies.
Oops.
Emerson said the program is needed to combat pharmaceutical company marketing to physicians. She accused physicians of being on the take and encouraged patients to “challenge prescription decisions†made by their physicians.
Funny, last we encountered Representative Emerson, she was trying to limit the information that patients could get on their medicines.
Emerson claimed that the legislation is solely aimed at providing enhanced evidence, but also said it would save Medicare “billions and billions, maybe trillions of dollars.â€
That's a boatload of "maybe."
David Helms, president of AcademyHealth said that the U.S. lags other countries in evidence-based medicine, and that it could learn a lot from countries like Australia and the U.K.
He didn’t say what the U.S. could learn from countries that routinely deny their citizens access to breakthrough life-saving and life-extending therapies.
That's why this piece of legislation should more appropriately be called "The Denial of Care Act."
A lot of coverage about the risks of using EPO -- the anti-anemia drug produced by Amgen and J and J mainly in the news. Much of the coverage is the typical "the drug companies pushed over and off-label use so people died" which is probably 5 percent accurate in that you can always find the cowboys and bad apples in any endeavor.
For the most part the use of EPO in treating patients with chronic kidney failure and patients at risk for anemia has been safe, sane and subject to study via observational and randomized clinical trials. Indeed, reading accounts of the cautions placed on the use of EPO you would think the companies were bribing docs to pump as much of the stuff into people as they could. Quite the contrary. Medical literature abounds with studies about what is the right dose to increase survival while not risk the lives of very sick patients. This research in turn is then evaluated, transparently and independently, into guidelines that are continuously adjusted. In some cases, physicians believed that super-corrective hemo-levels were preferable or tried, with very sick and anemic patients, to give them additional strength even through they were not receiving chemotherapy. It may be not be a perfect approach but patient concerns are and were front and center in most cases.
The most recent clinical trials are a culmination of this ongoing effort. That it might lead to a decline in sales should not be a consideration. Finding the right dose for the right patient should be.
For the most part the use of EPO in treating patients with chronic kidney failure and patients at risk for anemia has been safe, sane and subject to study via observational and randomized clinical trials. Indeed, reading accounts of the cautions placed on the use of EPO you would think the companies were bribing docs to pump as much of the stuff into people as they could. Quite the contrary. Medical literature abounds with studies about what is the right dose to increase survival while not risk the lives of very sick patients. This research in turn is then evaluated, transparently and independently, into guidelines that are continuously adjusted. In some cases, physicians believed that super-corrective hemo-levels were preferable or tried, with very sick and anemic patients, to give them additional strength even through they were not receiving chemotherapy. It may be not be a perfect approach but patient concerns are and were front and center in most cases.
The most recent clinical trials are a culmination of this ongoing effort. That it might lead to a decline in sales should not be a consideration. Finding the right dose for the right patient should be.
Absent in the debate over FDA reform is reform of DSHEA.
Yesterday, the Supreme Court rejected an appeal from a unit of Nutraceutical International Corp. to overturn a Food and Drug Administration ban on its ephedra dietary supplements.
Nutraceutical sued the FDA in 2004 to block the agency's action on ephedra, arguing it was abusing its authority and misusing federal regulations in order to take action on the dietary supplement, which is generally regulated more like a food than a drug.
A U.S. district court sided with Nutraceutical, Salt Lake City, but the 10th Circuit overturned that ruling.
"This case offers a key test of whether the FDA will be required to observe the statutory boundary between foods and drugs," Nutraceutical said in its appeal, arguing that the FDA never met the "burden of proof" necessary to force the supplements off the market. The company
This ruling is good news for the public health -- but it raises the issue of why so-called "supplements" are regulated as food in the first place.
The answer -- DSHEA. And it's time for a change.
Yesterday, the Supreme Court rejected an appeal from a unit of Nutraceutical International Corp. to overturn a Food and Drug Administration ban on its ephedra dietary supplements.
Nutraceutical sued the FDA in 2004 to block the agency's action on ephedra, arguing it was abusing its authority and misusing federal regulations in order to take action on the dietary supplement, which is generally regulated more like a food than a drug.
A U.S. district court sided with Nutraceutical, Salt Lake City, but the 10th Circuit overturned that ruling.
"This case offers a key test of whether the FDA will be required to observe the statutory boundary between foods and drugs," Nutraceutical said in its appeal, arguing that the FDA never met the "burden of proof" necessary to force the supplements off the market. The company
This ruling is good news for the public health -- but it raises the issue of why so-called "supplements" are regulated as food in the first place.
The answer -- DSHEA. And it's time for a change.
My op-ed in today's Washington Times on how Bill Clinton legitimitized Brazil and Thailand self serving attack on pharma IP. The NGO's who give this exercise moral cover should be doubly ashamed...
http://washingtontimes.com/op-ed/20070514-093346-6396r.htm
http://washingtontimes.com/op-ed/20070514-093346-6396r.htm
Here we go again. Just got this via e-mail:
"Washington, D.C.-- U.S. Representatives Tom Allen (D-ME) and Jo Ann Emerson (R-MO) will hold a PRESS CONFERENCE TOMORROW (Tuesday, May 15th) at 11:15 a.m. at Cannon Terrace venue to announce the introduction of H.R. 2184, The Advanced Health Care Value for All Act of 2007.
This bipartisan legislation would authorize the investment of $3 billion in new research and syntheses of existing research by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) within the Department of Health and Human Services on the comparative effectiveness of health care services (including prescription drugs, medical devices, procedures, and other treatments) to inform health care providers' decisions.
Joining Representatives Allen and Emerson will be representatives from organizations which support the bill, including AARP, AcademyHealth, Aetna, American Academy of Family Physicians, American Osteopathic Association, American Society of Health-System Pharmacists, Consumers Union, National Business Group on Health and United Health Group."
Folks, don't let the rhetoric fool you. This is legislation should really be named the Denial of Care Act -- because that is precisely what it will do and precisely what it is currently doing across Europe.
What about funding a study on the comparative effectiveness of insurance plans? Wonder how the AARP and AHIP would respond to that?
"Washington, D.C.-- U.S. Representatives Tom Allen (D-ME) and Jo Ann Emerson (R-MO) will hold a PRESS CONFERENCE TOMORROW (Tuesday, May 15th) at 11:15 a.m. at Cannon Terrace venue to announce the introduction of H.R. 2184, The Advanced Health Care Value for All Act of 2007.
This bipartisan legislation would authorize the investment of $3 billion in new research and syntheses of existing research by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) within the Department of Health and Human Services on the comparative effectiveness of health care services (including prescription drugs, medical devices, procedures, and other treatments) to inform health care providers' decisions.
Joining Representatives Allen and Emerson will be representatives from organizations which support the bill, including AARP, AcademyHealth, Aetna, American Academy of Family Physicians, American Osteopathic Association, American Society of Health-System Pharmacists, Consumers Union, National Business Group on Health and United Health Group."
Folks, don't let the rhetoric fool you. This is legislation should really be named the Denial of Care Act -- because that is precisely what it will do and precisely what it is currently doing across Europe.
What about funding a study on the comparative effectiveness of insurance plans? Wonder how the AARP and AHIP would respond to that?
We've referred to the Illinois governor by the moniker "Wrong-Way Rod" because of his stance on drug importation -- the theory being that his compass on the issue of safety was broken.
But we were wrong.
The problem is that he's using the wrong compass. Rather than relying on the Compass of Public Health, Governor Blagojevich has been using the Compass of Political Calculation.
But it seems as though that, latter compass, is broken as well.
Witness Wrong-Way Rod's most recent gambit for attention -- a proposal to fund universal government health care in Illinois via a $7.6 billion "gross receipts tax" on Illinois businesses.
As the Wall Street Journal notes in an editorial, "... a funny thing happened on this road to Canadian health care. The state's more rational Democrats revolted, arguing it would drive businesses out of Illinois."
Aha.
The bigger issue is that, when it comes to health care, calls for "universal coverage," whether for insurance or medicines, sound good as soundbites -- but when people realize that "free" actually means "higher taxes" they think twice.
And this isn't even mentioning the chilling effect such schemes have on innovation.
The Democrat-controlled house in Springfield, voted down Wrong-Way Rod's proposal 107-0 ... after the Governor came out against his own idea.
It seems that Wrong-Way Rod is dealing with two compasses, both of which are broken .
As the Journal opinied, " 'Universal' government health care has once again returned as a political cause, with many Democrats believing it's the key to White House victory in 2008. They might want to study last week's news from Illinois, where Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich's tax increase to finance health care became the political rout of the year."
Important to remember for many reasons, not the least of which is to see how the Governor's friend and ally, Representative Rahm Emanuel, reacts to Blago's Dilemma.
But we were wrong.
The problem is that he's using the wrong compass. Rather than relying on the Compass of Public Health, Governor Blagojevich has been using the Compass of Political Calculation.
But it seems as though that, latter compass, is broken as well.
Witness Wrong-Way Rod's most recent gambit for attention -- a proposal to fund universal government health care in Illinois via a $7.6 billion "gross receipts tax" on Illinois businesses.
As the Wall Street Journal notes in an editorial, "... a funny thing happened on this road to Canadian health care. The state's more rational Democrats revolted, arguing it would drive businesses out of Illinois."
Aha.
The bigger issue is that, when it comes to health care, calls for "universal coverage," whether for insurance or medicines, sound good as soundbites -- but when people realize that "free" actually means "higher taxes" they think twice.
And this isn't even mentioning the chilling effect such schemes have on innovation.
The Democrat-controlled house in Springfield, voted down Wrong-Way Rod's proposal 107-0 ... after the Governor came out against his own idea.
It seems that Wrong-Way Rod is dealing with two compasses, both of which are broken .
As the Journal opinied, " 'Universal' government health care has once again returned as a political cause, with many Democrats believing it's the key to White House victory in 2008. They might want to study last week's news from Illinois, where Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich's tax increase to finance health care became the political rout of the year."
Important to remember for many reasons, not the least of which is to see how the Governor's friend and ally, Representative Rahm Emanuel, reacts to Blago's Dilemma.
Check out this Hollywood-inspired look at the VA. It ran over the weekend in the Manchester Union Leader. (Yes, New Hampshire -- for all the obvious reasons).
If you like Medicare, you'll love Moviecare
Imagine turning 65 and finding a letter tucked in your mailbox offering unlimited movie tickets for just $25 a month. You read through the fine print, and amazingly, the offer isn't a scam. It's a new federal program called "MovieCare."
Not a bad deal. It's estimated that seniors spend between five and six percent of their income on entertainment, and this new program -- funded by the government -- would cover most of those expenses.
In some ways, Medicare Part D provides the same service, albeit for goods more important than movie tickets. Seniors used to spend about 3.2 percent of their total income on drugs. Thanks to Part D, those expenses have plummeted, and 20 million seniors who previously lacked prescription drug coverage now have it.
Not surprisingly, more than eight in ten beneficiaries are pleased with the drug benefit. If MovieCare were modeled on the Medicare drug benefit, more seniors than ever before would be able to go to the movies, the vast majority of movies would be available, and beneficiaries would likely enjoy the program as much as they enjoy Part D.
But before long, it's also likely that some congressional lawmakers would decide that MovieCare -- despite its enormous popularity -- was costing taxpayers too much because of heartless movie studio bosses.
We'd see speeches vilifying studio moguls and their "massive" profits. We'd see breathless reports of seniors who went to to see Flags of Our Fathers on a Friday night but ended up trapped in a showing of Man of the Year -- the horror!
Here's a link to the rest of the screenplay:
Download file
And we'll see you at the movies.
If you like Medicare, you'll love Moviecare
Imagine turning 65 and finding a letter tucked in your mailbox offering unlimited movie tickets for just $25 a month. You read through the fine print, and amazingly, the offer isn't a scam. It's a new federal program called "MovieCare."
Not a bad deal. It's estimated that seniors spend between five and six percent of their income on entertainment, and this new program -- funded by the government -- would cover most of those expenses.
In some ways, Medicare Part D provides the same service, albeit for goods more important than movie tickets. Seniors used to spend about 3.2 percent of their total income on drugs. Thanks to Part D, those expenses have plummeted, and 20 million seniors who previously lacked prescription drug coverage now have it.
Not surprisingly, more than eight in ten beneficiaries are pleased with the drug benefit. If MovieCare were modeled on the Medicare drug benefit, more seniors than ever before would be able to go to the movies, the vast majority of movies would be available, and beneficiaries would likely enjoy the program as much as they enjoy Part D.
But before long, it's also likely that some congressional lawmakers would decide that MovieCare -- despite its enormous popularity -- was costing taxpayers too much because of heartless movie studio bosses.
We'd see speeches vilifying studio moguls and their "massive" profits. We'd see breathless reports of seniors who went to to see Flags of Our Fathers on a Friday night but ended up trapped in a showing of Man of the Year -- the horror!
Here's a link to the rest of the screenplay:
Download file
And we'll see you at the movies.
here's my piece in yesterday's NY Post about the patrolling of anti-depressants and the larger issue of FDA pressures and responsibilities:
DANGEROUS WARNINGS
By MARC K. SIEGEL
May 12, 2007 -- CONGRESS may soon increase the Food and Drug Administration's oversight of pharmeceuticals. I certainly don't think we should simply trust what drug companies tell us, but I have my worries about the FDA, too.
Why? Consider one of my patients. Last year, the teen was in trouble - fighting with both parents during an ugly divorce and becoming severely depressed and violent. He'd had a fistfight with a relative and been expelled from his school
This year, he is not dead or in prison, but back in school. He's a much happier person who has been helped greatly by psychotherapy, time to heal his emotional wounds - and the anti-depressant Zoloft.
I can't say that he would have committed suicide without the medication, but the chances of his downhill spiral continuing would have been much greater. And the pill most certainly did not increase his chances of taking his own life.
Yet the FDA recently opted to impose its most serious "black box" warning on the prescription of anti-depressants to those aged 18 to 24. This sends the wrong message about drugs that are often life-saving.
What has led to these new warnings? An analysis of the use of 11 anti-depressants in 77,000 patients in this age group - which found an increased risk not of suicide but of suicidal thoughts for one patient in a thousand.
This number is quite small - and the FDA has a history of overestimating this kind of risk. It instituted a black-box warning against use of anti-depressants in children and younger adolescents in 2004. But a recent study in The Journal of the American Medical Association showed that the presence of "suicidal thoughts" in this group is less than half what the FDA had thought.
Is there any science behind the fears of these useful meds? Dr. John Mann, director of neuroscience at the New York State Psychiatric Institute and an expert on suicide, notes that starting an anti-depressant can occasionally remove inhibition and fear of death - "the person is no longer indecisive, and suicide may ensue."
But this theory is really a justification for careful observation by a trained professional like a psychiatrist, not for irrational fear of the drug. Any patient taking a drug for the first time may experience unexpected side effects, so early surveillance is always warranted.
And, while some caution about tiny theoretical risks may be in order, a growing fear of these drugs is hurting actual patients.
The pediatric warnings were instituted in March 2004; since then, the number of prescriptions of the common SSRI anti-depressants written for those under 19 has dropped by more than 10 percent. Meanwhile, childhood and adolescent suicides rose by nearly 20 percent in 2004 over the prior year. Fewer anti-depressants, that is, were followed by more suicides.
I worry that we'll now see that trend continue with the extension of the warnings to older patients. Worse, suicide grows more common among older teens, so the loss of life with the new warnings could be that much greater.
Warnings are only useful when they protect us against something dangerous. With untreated depression, the danger of suicide is far greater than the risk of the drugs that prevent it.
Dr. Marc K. Siegel is author of "False Alarm."
DANGEROUS WARNINGS
By MARC K. SIEGEL
May 12, 2007 -- CONGRESS may soon increase the Food and Drug Administration's oversight of pharmeceuticals. I certainly don't think we should simply trust what drug companies tell us, but I have my worries about the FDA, too.
Why? Consider one of my patients. Last year, the teen was in trouble - fighting with both parents during an ugly divorce and becoming severely depressed and violent. He'd had a fistfight with a relative and been expelled from his school
This year, he is not dead or in prison, but back in school. He's a much happier person who has been helped greatly by psychotherapy, time to heal his emotional wounds - and the anti-depressant Zoloft.
I can't say that he would have committed suicide without the medication, but the chances of his downhill spiral continuing would have been much greater. And the pill most certainly did not increase his chances of taking his own life.
Yet the FDA recently opted to impose its most serious "black box" warning on the prescription of anti-depressants to those aged 18 to 24. This sends the wrong message about drugs that are often life-saving.
What has led to these new warnings? An analysis of the use of 11 anti-depressants in 77,000 patients in this age group - which found an increased risk not of suicide but of suicidal thoughts for one patient in a thousand.
This number is quite small - and the FDA has a history of overestimating this kind of risk. It instituted a black-box warning against use of anti-depressants in children and younger adolescents in 2004. But a recent study in The Journal of the American Medical Association showed that the presence of "suicidal thoughts" in this group is less than half what the FDA had thought.
Is there any science behind the fears of these useful meds? Dr. John Mann, director of neuroscience at the New York State Psychiatric Institute and an expert on suicide, notes that starting an anti-depressant can occasionally remove inhibition and fear of death - "the person is no longer indecisive, and suicide may ensue."
But this theory is really a justification for careful observation by a trained professional like a psychiatrist, not for irrational fear of the drug. Any patient taking a drug for the first time may experience unexpected side effects, so early surveillance is always warranted.
And, while some caution about tiny theoretical risks may be in order, a growing fear of these drugs is hurting actual patients.
The pediatric warnings were instituted in March 2004; since then, the number of prescriptions of the common SSRI anti-depressants written for those under 19 has dropped by more than 10 percent. Meanwhile, childhood and adolescent suicides rose by nearly 20 percent in 2004 over the prior year. Fewer anti-depressants, that is, were followed by more suicides.
I worry that we'll now see that trend continue with the extension of the warnings to older patients. Worse, suicide grows more common among older teens, so the loss of life with the new warnings could be that much greater.
Warnings are only useful when they protect us against something dangerous. With untreated depression, the danger of suicide is far greater than the risk of the drugs that prevent it.
Dr. Marc K. Siegel is author of "False Alarm."