Latest Drugwonks' Blog

This blog has not be afraid of a fight when it comes to characterizing poorly designed CER as an excuse for rationing new technologies.  On the other hand, those who oppose CER have to do a lot more than just bleat about it's negative consequences.   It has to stop spending money on lobbyists and start spending money on researchers who can create a science-based path for the approval and use of diagnostics and clinical data for selecting and evaluating treatments, preventing illness and improving health.  And it has to spend money to demonstrate that it can do all of the above. 

The current approach to reimbursement will not suffice.  Case in point, the preliminary CMS decision not to pay for gene-guided warfarin testing until long term randomized clinical trials determine if such tests actually reduce bleeding and clots over the long term.   It is not the right way to go... in a long term study (> 8 - 12 weeks) it is impossible to link initial dose to long term outcomes of bleeds/clots unless one were to let INR fluctuate freely which is clearly unethical.    And loading dose is what PgX testing is all about since the major risk is in overdosing in the first month of treatment. 

That being the case I was glad to see the approach taken by Sean Tunis and Alan Garber in their NEJM article on how CER could be used to advance personalized medicine.   I was particularly interested to see that Tunis and Garber were open to using post hoc subpopulation analysis to generate leads for benefit where one size fits all previously showed none existed  We will see if this is merely a sop or the beginning of a shift in approach that is sensitive to advances in science and other considerations. 

In addition, AHRQ is holding a symposium on alternative study designs to take into account heterogeneity of treatment effect. 

These are well overdue signs that CER will not be manipulated overtly by political masters.  However more needs to done.  Money needs to be allocated to accelerate the testing of predictive markers for treatment selection and for health outcomes evaluations in prospective, observational settings.  And legislation needs to be introduced to insure that the absence of evidence does not become the rationale for absence of reimbursement by insurers, public or private.   That is, both should pay for new technologies as along as their is a "meaningful" effort to link use to efforts to measure value and clinical benefit and that such information and the clinical practices associated with the technology are shared.

In any event,  I commend Garber and Tunis (Tunis and Garber) for their article and hope that more such efforts are in the offing.

Read more here.










Swine Exploit Swine

  • 05.06.2009
What does Interpol -- the world’s largest international police organization – know that the supporters of drug importation don’t?  That criminals will exploit any opportunity to sell counterfeit drugs.

Interpol report that around 3%-4% of spam mails currently being circulated are related to swine flu, and this number is expected to increase. Hundreds of new web pages related to swine flu have been created in the past week alone

“It has been seen time and time again that following a global threat or natural disaster, criminals exploit the situation for their own financial gain and in this situation they are searching to take advantage of people’s fears about their health,” said Jean-Michel Louboutin, executive director of police services at Interpol.

“By responding to spam swine flu emails or attempting to order medication on-line through illegal and unregulated websites, people are risking their wellbeing and their money,” and any unsolicited emails containing deals or links to websites offering swine flu-related information packs or medicines “should be treated with extreme caution,” he warned.

Criminal organizations and individuals involved in the production of counterfeit pharmaceuticals may also attempt to take advantage of the current health situation through the manufacture of fake antiviral drugs, added Mr Louboutin.

“Any product which can be manufactured can be counterfeited, and while there is so far no evidence to suggest that fake antivirals are being manufactured in response to the swine flu outbreak, this is an area which we will continue to monitor in order to identify any cases if or when they emerge,” he said.

National authorities around the world have also issued warnings to the public, with David Pruce, director of policy at the Royal Pharmaceutical Society of Great Britain (RPSGB), pointing out that the current fears about swine flu offer a “golden opportunity” for counterfeiters to offer fake supplies of drugs, particularly Roche’s Tamiflu (oseltamivir) and GlaxoSmithKline’s Relenza (zanamivir) over the Internet.

The public should not be taken in by spam e-mails offering to supply these antivirals, said Mr Pruce. “Most of the drugs offered in this way turn out to be counterfeit and may contain anything from sugar to more dangerous substances that can seriously put health at risk,” he added.

Those supporting drug importation from foreign countries take note – you can’t put lipstick on a pig.


While personalized medicine stakeholders were meeting with HHS Sec. Sebelius to discourage duplication of CMS and FDA review and validation of Dx here's what CMS decided:

Finding insufficient evidence demonstrating that pharmacogenomics-guided warfarin dosing improves health outcomes for Medicare beneficiaries, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services this week determined that pharmacogenomic testing to predict warfarin responsiveness is "not reasonable and necessary."

Instead, CMS proposed a more "appropriate" alternative, employing a "coverage with evidence development" strategy, in which it would pay for PGx-based warfarin dosing only for Medicare beneficiaries who are part of a prospectively designed, randomized-controlled trial showing pharmacogenomics-guided dosing strategies improve health outcomes over standard dosing methods.

I guess requiring a RTC when FDA doesn't is not duplication. It is outright delay and derailment of Dx.

Read more here

According to the Associated Press, “The Food and Drug Administration has found at least 20 Web sites that may be fraudulently marketing products with claims that they guard against or cure swine flu.”

The FDA has also found at least 20 other sites offering products for swine flu -- including antiviral medications being sold without a doctor's prescription (including Tamiflu), dietary supplements with exaggerated claims, and flu diagnostic and protection kits.

This is what happens when public officials openly promote buying medicines over the internet. It emboldens criminals to sell their snake oil to frightened Americans.  Supporters of “safe” importation “from Canada” take note – you cannot call for “safer” drugs and foreign drug importation at the same time.

Drat that reality!

The complete AP story can be found here.

And it’s all strangely reminiscent of former Illinois Governor (and potential future felon) “Wrong Way” Rod Blagojevich’s purchase of 700,000 doses of flu vaccine from non-FDA approved sources.  By the time his purchase went through, the legitimate vaccine supply had been augmented and he refused to pay for the shipment.  (Maybe that should be added to the federal indictment?)

For all the assertions about the value of comparative effectiveness research (and money now being spent on it) there is actually very little theoretical or empirical research on the impact of such studies on things you might want to know about:  Costs for one thing.  There is the small question about whether the research has actually produced conclusions that could be considered clinically reliable or meaningful.  Then there is the question of the impact a quality of life threshold derived from an initial review of a relatively new product that itself reflects a value judgment will shape the rate of  Investment in future technologies.  

A recent paper entitled: Economic Evaluation and Comparative-Effectiveness Thresholds: Signals to Firms and Implications for R&D Investment and Innovation
John A. Vernon University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Joseph H. Golec University of Connecticut - Department of Finance and me address that last issue. 

Here's the abstract and a link to the article:

Abstract:     
In this article we describe how reimbursement cost-effectiveness thresholds, per unit of health benefit, whether set explicitly or observed implicitly via historical reimbursement decisions, serve as a signal to firms about the commercial viability of their R&D projects (including candidate products for in-licensing). Traditional finance methods for R&D project valuations, such as net present value analyses (NPV), incorporate information from these payer reimbursement signals to help determine which R&D projects should be continued and which projects should be terminated (in the case of the latter because they yield an NPV < 0). Because the influence these signals have for firm R&D investment decisions is so significant, we argue it is important that reimbursement thresholds reflect the economic value of the unit of health benefit being considered for reimbursement. Thresholds set too low (below the economic value of the health benefit) will result in R&D investment levels that too low relative to the economic value of R&D (on the margin). Similarly, thresholds set too high (above the economic value of the health benefit) will result in inefficiently high levels of R&D spending. The U.S. in particular, which represents approximately half of the global pharmaceutical market (based on sales), and which seems poised to begin undertaking cost effectiveness in a systematic way, needs to exert caution in setting polices that explicitly or implicitly establish cost-effectiveness reimbursement thresholds for health care products and technologies, such as pharmaceuticals. In this paper we consider how cost-effectiveness thresholds influence R&D spending because firms react to payer reimbursement signals and guidelines.

Read article here
One of the most common arguments for changing the US health care system is cost. After all, just about every other country spends less both per capita and as a percentage of GDP than the US does, often substantially less.
 
This is well-illustrated by a story last week on precipitously rising costs for drugs and payments to doctors has destroyed attempts to hold down costs and produced billions in deficits. With health care threatened by these shortfalls, the government may need to fill the gap with tax money.
 
Just another day in the collapse of the US healthcare system. Not quite. This article comes not from The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal, although the outlines of the story are all too familiar to Americans. Rather the story comes from the German news publication Der Spiegel.
 
The German health care system is looking at a 3 billion euro hole in its finances as the non-profit insurers that administer coverage, known as Krankenkassen or sickness funds, find that they do not have enough in their coffers to fund the medical expenses of their members. Officials at the sickness funds predict that the gap between income and expenses may be even higher, 4 million euros, next year. And this is just the public system, which includes about 90 percent of Germans. The rest participate in a separate private system.
 
They are seeking more money from the government. The state, however, has indicated that the sickness funds themselves are responsible for closing the hole since they have already been loaned government money. As a result, 4.5 million Germans, belonging to 16 sickness funds, will see their premiums go up in July. The additional charge can be up to one percent of household income. 
 
The German system has been feeling the pressure of increasing medical costs for a long time, for many of the same reasons that the US is. The steadily escalating price tag of new drugs and procedures, and the free access that citizens are given, has contributed to putting both countries in the red. Doctors have also found themselves dissatisfied at their reimbursement rates, an area that has often been targeted in both countries as a way to hold down the system’s cost. This disgruntlement actually sent doctors on strike in Germany a few years ago.
 
There is another factor affecting Germany’s current health care financing woes, however, and one that sounds a cautionary note about the fiscal consequences of universal coverage. Germans pay for coverage through a payroll tax on their wages, split with their employer, but they don’t lose it if they lose their jobs. With the rising unemployment rate and an increasing number of people working short jobs or restricted hours, the amount of money going to fund the health care system has gone down significantly. Making sure citizens who are out of work get care is something most Americans support, but we must look open eyed at the potential cost that comes with that.
 
So the next time you hear statistics about health care costs around the world, remember that anyone who believes that other systems have been spared the cost concerns that have long dogged the US system is sorely mistaken.
 
German speaking readers can find the original story here.

Nuts!

  • 05.04.2009

In a new Harris Interactive/HealthDay online survey (conducted in mid-April, via a nationally representative sample of 2,495 adults aged 18 and over), 47 percent of respondents believe the FDA does a poor job when it comes to monitoring the safety and effectiveness of new prescription drugs. 

The good news is that this is an improvement over the 58 percent disapproval rating noted in a similar poll last year.

Some other interesting findings:

* 49 percent of Americans have a negative view of the job the FDA is doing. 48 percent have a positive assessment.

* 6 percent of respondents say that the FDA's oversight of imported foods is "excellent.” 21 percent say it’s "poor."

* 8 percent of poll respondents feel the agency is doing an "excellent" job of making sure new prescription drugs are safe and effective, or monitoring the safety of prescription drugs after they arrive on the market.

* 11 percent believe the FDA does an "excellent" job of handling recalls of prescription drugs. Overall, 43 percent think the agency's handling of recalls is "good," 28 percent "fair," and 12 percent "poor."

* 56 percent of those surveyed feel positively about how the FDA handles food recalls, while 40 percent feel negatively. Confidence about drug recalls was less robust.

* 59 percent said they feel that food safety should be the FDA's most important priority, followed by ensuring the safety and effectiveness of prescription drugs (37 percent). The safety of imported food came in third at 30 percent.

* 47 percent of respondents felt negative and an equal number positive about how the FDA ensures the safety and effectiveness of new prescription drugs. In 2004, 56 percent were positive and 37 percent were negative.

* More individuals (53 percent) felt positive than negative (40 percent) about how the FDA handles drug recalls in 2009, versus an opposite trend in 2008: 39 percent positive and 53 percent negative.

* Roughly the same percentage of people feel positive and negative about how the FDA monitors drugs after they are approved.

* About one-third (35 percent) of respondents say the FDA approves new drugs too slowly, 19 percent too quickly, and 18 percent think the process is about right.

* Only one-quarter feel "very confident" about the safety of over-the-counter medicines such as cough and cold medicines; 24 percent feel the same about prescription drugs, both brand names and generics. But only 14 percent feel this way about herbal remedies and nutritional supplements.

Obviously, some of these findings are somewhat contradictory – and that’s not surprising considering that many of the questions overlap and the responses are based on what people “think” they know about the FDA.  But, all that aside, it is a snapshot in time of people’s general attitudes about the agency that regulates more than a quarter of the American economy.

What explains the improvement of the numbers year-over-year?  Is the “Obama FDA” in April 2009 any different from the “Bush FDA” from January 2008?  The answer, technically, is nothing is different.  But with a new administration (and particularly this one) comes higher expectations.  And the agency’s expeditious approach to pistachios seems to have given the FDA a kick-start to public redemption.

Well, nuts!

Because it's Friday and because I am staying at home in a tub filled with Purell under the advice of Joe Biden:

Michael Vick in talks to become PETA spokesman

May 1, 2009 - 2:38pm
AP: 1e175e5a-eb51-4a13-b6eb-8266becb201b
On May 21, Michael Vick will be transferred from a federal prison in Kansas to home confinement in Hampton, Va. (AP)

Peggy Pandemic

  • 05.01.2009
What's it going to take to get the Senate to act on Peggy Hamburg's nomination, a flu pandemic?

While FDA has made all the right moves in dealing with the swine flu issue (specifically by naming Jesse Goodman to oversee the agency’s role in addressing the problem) there’s one more thing that only the United States Senate can do to help – confirm Peggy Hamburg as Commissioner. Now.

After all, she’s only one of the world’s top experts in flu pandemics – serving as vice chair of the IOM’s Forum on Microbial Threats (where she served along side Dr. Goodman and the FDA’s current “Food Czar,” David Acheson.

It’s time for us to use all the weapons at our disposal to combat the swine flu -- and Peggy Hamburg is a powerful one.  Let’s get the confirmation process underway and expedite a Senate vote.

Unhappy with CNN’s Campbell Brown commenting on the flimsy evidence regarding vaccines’ link to autism, actor turned medical expert Jim Carrey has taken to writing commentary on the issue.
 
Writing on The Huffington Post, Carrey states, “If the CDC, the AAP and Ms. Brown insist that our children take twice as many shots as the rest of the western world, we need more independent vaccine research not done by the drug companies selling the vaccines or by organizations under their influence. Studies that cannot be internally suppressed. Answers parents can trust. Perhaps this is what Campbell Brown should be demanding and how the power of the press could better serve the public in the future.”
 
I don’t know what to make of this. I suppose one could chalk it up to Jenny McCarthy’s influence over Carrey. But let us assume that Jim Carrey has invested time in gaining knowledge on this issue and is seriously interested in pursuing the discussion.
 
He writes that we should hear more from those in the medical community not under the influence of vaccine makers.
 
Will a physician with no financial ties to vaccine manufacturers do?
 
In a piece in the Los Angeles Times Dr. Rahul Parikh writes, “By now, most people know that many parents are refusing to vaccinate their children because they're scared that vaccines cause autism. They've heard the public rants of people who form a small but vocal and well-financed minority in the autism community and been frightened by them. Actress Jenny McCarthy, for example, who has had her share of appearances on "Larry King Live" and "The Oprah Winfrey Show," has screamed (literally) that she would rather children get measles than autism. At best, that's a false choice; at worst, it's a sick, horrible wish for her or anybody else's child.”
 
Autism is undoubtedly a terrible affliction – and we all sympathize with the parents of autistic children. But it is simply unforgivable for Jim Carrey and others to continue scaring parents out of their minds with abandon.
 
That said, Dr. Kevin Pho of KevinMD correctly notes that the medical community’s time would be better spent avoiding getting bogged down in a debate with the anti-vaccine zealots and instead work on improving the message to parents and the public about the benefits of vaccines.
 
Dr. Pho writes, “no amount of data will convince those who refuse vaccines.” He advises, “Rather than fighting a reactionary battle with them, it's wiser to spend money proactively promoting the benefits of vaccines, or even better, convincing parents what will happen if more begin to refuse them for their kids.”
 
Hear, hear!

CMPI

Center for Medicine in the Public Interest is a nonprofit, non-partisan organization promoting innovative solutions that advance medical progress, reduce health disparities, extend life and make health care more affordable, preventive and patient-centered. CMPI also provides the public, policymakers and the media a reliable source of independent scientific analysis on issues ranging from personalized medicine, food and drug safety, health care reform and comparative effectiveness.

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